Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 315.997228 359.381321 408.103077 467.171884 537.245207 618.210606 719.552383
2025-01-05 246.345281 300.754580 367.597443 456.890042 574.787456 727.638976 945.026473
2025-01-12 211.334226 269.935656 346.235150 454.981615 609.580245 827.248198 1167.842260
2025-01-19 180.085533 237.650282 315.846896 432.815706 608.764445 873.061824 1319.932293
2025-01-26 169.016440 230.315878 317.166148 453.586760 671.117839 1021.043027 1664.863877
2025-02-02 161.766327 226.971814 322.999807 480.893499 747.083132 1204.970325 2122.521890
2025-02-09 149.556660 214.679977 313.549613 482.163845 779.601558 1320.578090 2486.902678
2025-02-16 136.454164 199.536899 297.722515 470.316111 786.599099 1390.003184 2777.322532
2025-02-23 125.782468 187.080145 284.699285 461.200989 796.483942 1466.135533 3106.145792
2025-03-02 120.278562 182.273996 283.546096 472.531762 846.507351 1634.130105 3713.258951
2025-03-09 113.320199 174.418265 276.364763 471.751069 872.150706 1755.286251 4248.135205
2025-03-16 105.697266 164.800248 265.180831 461.939572 877.353519 1830.988523 4687.545282
2025-03-23 100.120033 158.410571 259.432529 462.638388 906.816667 1975.858325 5416.943436
2025-03-30 93.523275 149.772671 248.902117 452.657319 911.290556 2060.836773 6002.755030
2025-04-06 88.680928 143.827195 242.737934 450.756524 933.938678 2199.693051 6857.409650
2025-04-13 81.764720 133.682346 227.854144 428.845635 905.324680 2190.278329 7148.082178
2025-04-20 80.585070 133.825965 232.532210 449.378799 984.661056 2515.087275 9027.850455
2025-04-27 80.110974 135.206853 239.704545 476.368923 1086.379572 2945.449832 11786.875278
2025-05-04 76.907071 131.212769 235.802342 477.624431 1119.754860 3166.381634 13718.393886
2025-05-11 72.665926 124.959855 226.810556 465.914707 1115.028742 3254.975010 14999.274263
2025-05-18 69.008486 119.612037 219.285895 456.905197 1116.669713 3368.697381 16569.040976
2025-05-25 67.460270 118.276332 220.021289 468.104611 1180.248476 3741.477132 20365.323128
2025-06-01 64.959754 114.894169 216.137562 467.332994 1207.407677 3981.842410 23560.969327